17 aprile 2025

Solutions court terme

Absolute return - Non-market-correlated strategies shine in times of uncertainty

Hadrien Janin
Hadrien Janin, Fixed Income and Money Market Product Specialist 

Marketing communication

Key points

1. Market volatility has increased, impacted by declining central bank liquidity and current macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainties.
 

2. This environment poses a risk to directional funds that are exposed to movements in interest rate and credit risks

3. Investors wishing to significantly mitigate these risks may turn to market-neutral strategies, which offer an uncorrelated approach to the market.

4. Our range of absolute return funds provides a suitable response to this need with Groupama Alpha Fixed Income and Groupama Alpha Fixed Income Plus funds.
 

The concept of ‘absolute return

Absolute return bond strategies are investment processes that seek to generate positive returns regardless of market conditions, unlike relative return strategies, which seek to outperform a benchmark index.

Although there are various types of strategies, certain common characteristics can be identified:

Objective: To seek to generate a positive return regardless of market fluctuations.

Risk management: Close attention to fund volatility and control of losses.

Flexibility in asset selection: Use of a wide range of financial instruments, including derivatives, long and short positions1
 

The ‘market-neutral’ approach

A ’market-neutral’ bond fund is one that aims to generate a positive return regardless of the overall performance in the bond market. It seeks to minimize the impact of interest rate and credit movements by implementing hedging strategies.

While a ‘market-neutral’ fund always has an absolute performance objective, the opposite is not necessarily true. An absolute return fund may retain directional exposure to interest rate and credit markets.
 

Strategies Market Neutral

1Long position: positively exposed to the performance of an asset.  Short position: negatively exposed to the performance of an asset. 2Strategy using long and short positions in the fixed income markets. For more details, see page 2

Main strategies 

There are several types of absolute return strategies, to meet the varying needs of investors in terms of return and risk. Some strategies may be market-neutral, while others are not, depending on their construction. However, the most common approaches are as follows:
 

 « GLOBAL MACRO » VIEW

This strategy is based on the analysis of major macroeconomic trends (growth, inflation, monetary policy) in order to adjust the fund's exposure to bonds that seek to offer the highest potential in this environment.


DIRECTIONAL RATES STRATEGIES

A directional rate fund is a bond fund that seeks to profit from changes in interest rates by taking directional positions. Unlike traditional bond funds that seek to replicate an index, these funds actively bet on rising or falling rates to seek to generate yield.

Absolute return target

 

« LONG/SHORT » STRATEGIES

Funds following a long/short strategy expose themselves to bonds they consider undervalued within their investment universe, and sell those whose price seems too high in view of economic fundamentals, notably through derivatives.

«RELATIVE VALUE » APPROACH

A ‘relative value’ fund seeks to identify temporary price differentials between bonds, interest rates or credit instruments. With this in mind, the management team takes ‘long’ and ‘short’ positions to neutralize market risk.

 

 " carry trade " funds

‘Carry trade’ is an investment strategy that involves borrowing in a low-interest currency to invest in a higher-yielding currency. The aim is to take advantage of the interest rate differential to generate regular income.
 

Absolute

3Groupama Alpha Fixed Income Plus seeks to approach neutrality in the face of market movements, but may retain a limited degree of directionality at the discretion of the management team. 4Peer trading involves buying one asset and selling another similar or correlated asset, with the aim of profiting from the performance gap between the two.


A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT for non-directional strategies

With the gradual withdrawal of liquidity injected by central banks, dispersion within bond indices is set to increase.

‘’  THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT VALIDATES THE MARKET-NEUTRAL APPROACH

 

This dispersion is reflected in a lower correlation between bond segments. Now, each segment (sovereign, corporate, financial, high yield) reacts differently according to its fundamentals, increasing the dispersion of assets within the same index

 

At the same time, financial markets are operating in a deteriorating macroeconomic and geopolitical environment, with sources of uncertainty multiplying since the start of the year. We therefore believe that this context should lead to periods of greater volatility.

In this environment, market-neutral strategies ideally meet the needs of investors looking for a more defensive approach, but one that could generate performance gradually and relatively steadily over time, as in our Groupama Alpha Fixed Income and Groupama Alpha Fixed Income Plus funds.
 

As the chart below illustrates, the current environment validates the market-neutral approach. While directional bond indices have experienced periods of volatility, Groupama Alpha Fixed Income Plus (NC) fund, with its limited directionality, has shown an almost linear progression since the strategy was launched.
 

Performance of Groupama Alpha Fixed Income Plus (NC) fund and its benchmark since inception, as well as sovereign and corporate bond indices5 

Graphique

Past performance is no guarantee of future performance, and is not constant over time. All investments carry a risk of capital loss.

 

SRI : 2/7

This indicator represents the risk profile displayed in the DIC. The risk category is not guaranteed and may change during the month.

 

Recommended investment period: 18 months

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MAIN RISKS :

  • Risk of capital loss
  • Interest rate risk
  • Credit risk
  • Counterparty risk
  • Liquidity risk
  • Derivatives investment risk

Please refer to the prospectus for a complete list of risks.

 

Marketing Communication

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